353 Pages · 15.28 mb ·
Academic & Education Software
- Preface (Page 8) - Why does the World Need Excel Data Analysis, Modeling, and Simulation ? (Page 8) - Who Benefits from this Book? (Page 9) - Key Features of this Book (Page 9) - Acknowledgements (Page 10) - Contents (Page 12) - About the Author (Page 18) - 1 Introduction to Spreadsheet Modeling (Page 19) - 1.1 Introduction (Page 19) - 1.2 Whats an MBA to do? (Page 20) - 1.3 Why Model Problems? (Page 21) - 1.4 Why Model Decision Problems with Excel? (Page 21) - 1.5 Spreadsheet Feng Shui1/ Spreadsheet Engineering (Page 23) - 1.6 A Spreadsheet Makeover (Page 25) - 1.6.1 Julia---s Business Problem---A Very Uncertain Outcome (Page 26) - 1.6.2 Ram's Critique (Page 29) - 1.6.3 Julia's New and Improved Workbook (Page 30) - 1.7 Summary (Page 34) - Key Terms (Page 35) - Problems and Exercises (Page 35) - 2 Presentation of Quantitative Data (Page 37) - 2.1 Introduction (Page 37) - 2.2 Data Classification (Page 38) - 2.3 Data Context and Data Orientation (Page 39) - 2.3.1 Data Preparation Advice (Page 42) - 2.4 Types of Charts and Graphs (Page 44) - 2.4.1 Ribbons and the Excel Menu System (Page 45) - 2.4.2 Some Frequently Used Charts (Page 47) - 2.4.3 Specific Steps for Creating a Chart (Page 51) - 2.5 An Example of Graphical Data Analysis and Presentation (Page 53) - 2.5.1 Example'Tere's Budget for the 2nd Semester of College (Page 56) - 2.5.2 Collecting Data (Page 58) - 2.5.3 Summarizing Data (Page 58) - 2.5.4 Analyzing Data (Page 60) - 2.5.5 Presenting Data (Page 66) - 2.6 Some Final Practical Graphical Presentation Advice (Page 67) - 2.7 Summary (Page 69) - Key Terms (Page 69) - Problems and Exercises (Page 70) - 3 Analysis of Quantitative Data (Page 73) - 3.1 Introduction (Page 73) - 3.2 What is Data Analysis? (Page 73) - 3.3 Data Analysis Tools (Page 74) - 3.4 Data Analysis for Two Data Sets (Page 78) - 3.4.1 Time Series Data---Visual Analysis (Page 79) - 3.4.2 Cross-Sectional Data---Visual Analysis (Page 83) - 3.4.3 Analysis of Time Series Data---Descriptive Statistics (Page 85) - 3.4.4 Analysis of Cross-Sectional Data---Descriptive Statistics (Page 87) - 3.5 Analysis of Time Series DataForecasting/Data Relationship Tools (Page 90) - 3.5.1 Graphical Analysis (Page 91) - 3.5.2 Linear Regression (Page 95) - 3.5.3 Covariance and Correlation (Page 100) - 3.5.4 Other Forecasting Models (Page 102) - 3.5.5 Findings (Page 103) - 3.6 Analysis of Cross-Sectional DataForecasting/Data Relationship Tools (Page 103) - 3.6.1 Findings (Page 110) - 3.7 Summary (Page 111) - Key Terms (Page 112) - Problems and Exercises (Page 112) - 4 Presentation of Qualitative Data (Page 116) - 4.1 IntroductionWhat is Qualitative Data? (Page 116) - 4.2 Essentials of Effective Qualitative Data Presentation (Page 117) - 4.2.1 Planning for Data Presentation and Preparation (Page 117) - 4.3 Data Entry and Manipulation (Page 120) - 4.3.1 Tools for Data Entry and Accuracy (Page 120) - 4.3.2 Data Transposition to Fit Excel (Page 123) - 4.3.3 Data Conversion with the Logical IF (Page 126) - 4.3.4 Data Conversion of Text from Non-Excel Sources (Page 129) - 4.4 Data queries with Sort, Filter, and Advanced Filter (Page 130) - 4.4.1 Sorting Data (Page 133) - 4.4.2 Filtering Data (Page 135) - 4.4.3 Filter (Page 135) - 4.4.4 Advanced Filter (Page 140) - 4.5 An Example (Page 145) - 4.6 Summary (Page 150) - 4.7 Key Terms (Page 152) - 4.7 Problems and Exercises (Page 153) - 5 Analysis of Qualitative Data (Page 157) - 5.1 Introduction (Page 157) - 5.2 Essentials of Qualitative Data Analysis (Page 159) - 5.2.1 Dealing with Data Errors (Page 159) - 5.3 PivotChart or PivotTable Reports (Page 163) - 5.3.1 An Example (Page 164) - 5.3.2 PivotTables (Page 166) - 5.3.3 PivotCharts (Page 173) - 5.4 TiendaMa.com ExampleQuestion 1 (Page 176) - 5.5 TiendaMa.com ExampleQuestion 2 (Page 179) - 5.6 Summary (Page 187) - Key Terms (Page 188) - Problems and Exercises (Page 188) - 6 Inferential Statistical Analysis of Data (Page 192) - 6.1 Introduction (Page 192) - 6.2 Let the Statistical Technique Fit the Data (Page 194) - 6.3 2 Chi-Square Test of Independence for Categorical Data (Page 194) - 6.3.1 Tests of Hypothesis---Null and Alternative (Page 195) - 6.4 z-Test and t-Test of Categorical and Interval Data (Page 199) - 6.5 An Example (Page 199) - 6.5.1 z-Test: 2 Sample Means (Page 202) - 6.5.2 Is There a Difference in Scores for SC Non-Prisoners and EB Trained SC Prisoners? (Page 203) - 6.5.3 t-Test: Two Samples Unequal Variances (Page 206) - 6.5.4 Do Texas Prisoners Score Higher Than Texas Non-Prisoners? (Page 206) - 6.5.5 Do Prisoners Score Higher Than Non-Prisoners Regardless of the State? (Page 207) - 6.5.6 How do Scores Differ Among Prisoners of SC and Texas Before Special Training? (Page 208) - 6.5.7 Does the EB Training Program Improve Prisoner Scores? (Page 210) - 6.5.8 What If the Observations Means Are Different, But We Do Not See Consistent Movement of Scores? (Page 212) - 6.5.9 Summary Comments (Page 212) - 6.6 ANOVA (Page 212) - 6.6.1 ANOVA: Single Factor Example (Page 214) - 6.6.2 Do the Mean Monthly Losses of Reefers Suggest That the Means are Different for the Three Ports? (Page 216) - 6.7 Experimental Design (Page 217) - 6.7.1 Randomized Complete Block Design Example (Page 220) - 6.7.2 Factorial Experimental Design Example (Page 224) - 6.8 Summary (Page 225) - Key Terms (Page 226) - Problems and Exercises (Page 228) - 7 Modeling and Simulation: Part 1 (Page 232) - 7.1 Introduction (Page 232) - 7.1.1 What is a Model? (Page 234) - 7.2 How Do We Classify Models? (Page 235) - 7.3 An Example of Deterministic Modeling (Page 238) - 7.3.1 A Preliminary Analysis of the Event (Page 239) - 7.4 Understanding the Important Elements of a Model (Page 242) - 7.4.1 Pre-Modeling or Design Phase (Page 243) - 7.4.2 Modeling Phase (Page 243) - 7.4.3 Resolution of Weather and Related Attendance (Page 247) - 7.4.4 Attendees Play Games of Chance (Page 248) - 7.4.5 Fr. Efia's What-if Questions (Page 250) - 7.4.6 Summary of OLPS Modeling Effort (Page 251) - 7.5 Model Building with Excel (Page 251) - 7.5.1 Basic Model (Page 252) - 7.5.2 Sensitivity Analysis (Page 255) - 7.5.3 Controls from the Forms Control Tools (Page 262) - 7.5.4 Option Buttons (Page 263) - 7.5.5 Scroll Bars (Page 265) - 7.6 Summary (Page 267) - Key Terms (Page 268) - Problems and Exercises (Page 269) - 8 Modeling and Simulation: Part 2 (Page 272) - 8.1 Introduction (Page 272) - 8.2 Types of Simulation and Uncertainty (Page 274) - 8.2.1 Incorporating Uncertain Processes in Models (Page 274) - 8.3 The Monte Carlo Sampling Methodology (Page 275) - 8.3.1 Implementing Monte Carlo Simulation Methods (Page 276) - 8.3.2 A Word About Probability Distributions (Page 281) - 8.3.3 Modeling Arrivals with the Poisson Distribution (Page 286) - 8.3.4 VLOOKUP and HLOOKUP Functions (Page 288) - 8.4 A Financial ExampleIncome Statement (Page 289) - 8.5 An Operations ExampleAutohaus (Page 293) - 8.5.1 Status of Autohaus Model (Page 298) - 8.5.2 Building the Brain Worksheet (Page 299) - 8.5.3 Building the Calculation Worksheet (Page 301) - 8.5.4 Variation in Approaches to Poisson Arrivals---Consideration of Modeling Accuracy (Page 303) - 8.5.5 Sufficient Sample Size (Page 305) - 8.5.6 Building the Data Collection Worksheet (Page 306) - 8.5.7 Results (Page 311) - 8.6 Summary (Page 313) - Key Terms (Page 314) - Problems and Exercises (Page 315) - 9 Solver, Scenarios, and Goal Seek Tools (Page 318) - 9.1 Introduction (Page 318) - 9.2 SolverConstrained Optimization (Page 320) - 9.3 ExampleYork River Archaeology Budgeting (Page 321) - 9.3.1 Formulation (Page 323) - 9.3.2 Formulation of YRA Problem (Page 325) - 9.3.3 Preparing a Solver Worksheet (Page 325) - 9.3.4 Using Solver (Page 329) - 9.3.5 Solver Reports (Page 330) - 9.3.6 Some Questions for YRA (Page 334) - 9.4 Scenarios (Page 338) - 9.4.1 Example 1---Mortgage Interest Calculations (Page 339) - 9.4.2 Example 2---An Income Statement Analysis (Page 343) - 9.5 Goal Seek (Page 344) - 9.5.1 Example 1---Goal Seek Applied to the PMT Cell (Page 345) - 9.5.2 Example 2---Goal Seek Applied to the CUMIPMT Cell (Page 346) - 9.6 Summary (Page 347) - Key Terms (Page 349) - Problems and Exercises (Page 350)